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Cash flow forecasting for owner-operated businesses
Profit and cash are not the same thing. A forecast shows you where cash will be in the coming weeks and months, so payroll, equipment payments, and tax bills never arrive as a surprise.
Why profitable businesses run short of cash
- Customers pay weeks after you pay your crew and suppliers
- Equipment and truck payments take cash that never shows up as an expense
- Seasonal swings leave slow months with the same fixed costs
- Tax payments and owner distributions arrive in large amounts
- Growth needs cash for materials and labor before the invoice is paid
What a good forecast includes
- A short-term view, usually 13 weeks, updated often
- A rolling 12-month view for bigger planning
- Known large outflows: taxes, loan payments, insurance, equipment
- Scenarios, such as customers paying late or a large job slipping a month
How I build it
I start from your bank balances, receivables, payables, payroll, and scheduled work. Each month I compare the forecast to what actually happened and tighten the next one.
What you can do with it
- Time an equipment purchase for when cash can absorb it
- Set owner distributions you can sustain
- Decide whether you need a line of credit, and how much
- Plan hiring around cash instead of hope
Forecasting pairs naturally with job costing and WIP reporting, since both show where cash is tied up.
Related reading
Contact
Let's look at your numbers together.
Send a note with a little about your business. I reply personally, and the first conversation costs nothing.
Email Zach zach@zwilsonconsulting.com 218-850-7555